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JANUARY
31, 2013
WHO'S A BABY?
We
often hear in the news that a legislator has proposed a measure to
do such and such. But a bill is not yet a law. Even
though a legislator has introduced it, it requires approval by
committees, passage by both houses, and a signature by the chief
executive before it goes into effect. You can be arrested for
breaking a law, but not for breaking a bill.
Similarly,
Id like to point out, a fetus is not a baby. Its
likely to develop into a baby, but contrary to what some
people insist, a fetus is not yet an actual citizen. It has no
date of birth, no name, no birth certificate. Therefore,
however abhorrent we may find abortion to be, a woman who aborts her
pregnancy is not committing murder.
Yet
many of those who oppose abortion refer to it as killing
babies. Pro-lifers say that Americans kill something like
3,300 sweet and precious little ones every day.
On
the other end of the scale, of course, Americans occasionally kill
young people whose age is greater than zero. In particular, 20
students died in the shootings at Sandy Hook Elementary School in
Newtown, Connecticut. Most of them were six years old; a few
were older.
To
me, a baby is an infant, and these were not babies;
these were children. Six-year-olds dont like to be called
babies. Theyre big boys and girls now. They go to
school. Yet in the aftermath, some people referred to
them as babies.
Laura
Feinstein, a Sandy Hook teacher: I cant imagine
who would do this to our poor little babies.
West
Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin: Never before have we seen our
babies slaughtered.
Texas
Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee: Certainly our hearts go out for
those babies that were lost.
Country
singer Ashley Monroe: "My heart is literally breaking for all
those precious babies and their families in Connecticut.
Actress
Alyssa Milano: "My heart and soul aches for the parents of
those babies lost and for the babies that have to somehow heal and overcome.
Why
do we want to confer babyhood on those who are obviously not infants?
For
many people, particularly women, it's simple. An infant is
irresistibly cute. Aw, look at that dear little
thing! See those tiny little fingers! Such a
miracle! So precious! Is it a boy or a girl?
And their protective instincts take over; like a parent, the last
thing they want is for any harm to come to this helpless little
human. They keep on considering it a baby whether
its age is ½ or +6.
Ever
notice how in soap operas, an anguished mother will sob, Where
is my baby? I want my baby back! Its never
Where is Nathan Junior? The generic notion of a
lost baby (not a specific missing person) strikes a powerful
emotional chord in most members of the audience.
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Not
me. To me, infants are not all that cute.
Im the nerdish guy whose eyes widen instead at a store display
of calculators, having found these complex gadgets fascinating
since they first became available 40 years ago. They're litle
mathematical miracles.
Bill
Crawford, a comedian on a radio show here in Pittsburgh, also
dislikes infants. He has two young daughters, but he admits he
didnt really want to be around them until they were at least
old enough to talk, like a real person. |
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Conclusion:
there are enough actual babies around, annoying us with their
bawling and pooping, yet unable to carry on a conversation.
Lets not misapply the word baby, for emotional
reasons, to include the unborn and the toddler.
JANUARY
28, 2023
TOO MANY TRIPLES
In
my last post, about college basketball, I noted that two-thirds
of Pitt's points on Wednesday came from uncontested three-point
shots. Sadly, that's not the hard-driving give-and-go game I
grew up with in the 1960s.
It's
the same situation in the pros. The enormous increase in
three-point shooting is going to lead to more scoring, NBA
commissioner Adam Silver said last week, especially when these
guys, even the big men, shoot three-point shots as well as they
do. I remember people were saying, It's all about
dunking, and guys can't shoot. Now it's, They shoot
too well. It should be more of an inside game.
We'll keep looking at it.
October
20, 2024, update by Kevin O'Connor:
Anthony
Edwards of the Minnesota Timberwolves has taken 90 total shots this
season with 53 of them coming from behind the arc. That's a
rate of 58.9%. Higher than you'd expect from a dynamic player
capable of slashing, drawing contact, and finishing at the rim with authority.
Could the MJ-esque midrange pull-ups and athletic drives that made
him a nostalgic fan favorite be slipping away? When that
3-point style becomes the game's de facto state for almost all
players and teams, the thrill can start to wear thin for many fans. |
Let's
make a new rule that no more than
one-third of a team's points can
come from three-point shots.
How
would such a limit be enforced?
We
could decree that triples are to be allowed only when a pair of blue
lights are glowing. The blue-light specials, controlled by the
scoring computer, would be located at the ends of the arc in both the
left and right corners. |
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If
we let A represent All of a team's points and B
represent its points from three-point Bombs, then the
computer looks ahead to consider what the situation would be if
the team were to make another three-pointer. Then the
points from triples would be B+3 and the overall points would
be A+3. Would that be legal? If B+3
divided by A+3 equaled more than .3333, the one-third rule
would be violated. Therefore another three-pointer is not
allowed, and the blue lights would not be lit.
Suppose
a team has A=40 points, with B=12 from triples. |
|
All Points |
4 pts from FT |
24 from 2pt |
12 from 3pt |
|
40 |
10% |
60% |
30% |
If
their next score were to be another triple, we'd have A=43 and B=15. |
|
New Points |
4 pts from FT |
24 from 2pt |
15
from 3pt |
|
43 |
9% |
56% |
35% |
However,
that can't happen. The blue lights would not be on because 15
divided by 43 is .3488, or 35%. While the lights are off (as
would be the situation at the start of the game until at least six
points had been scored), the team is still allowed to shoot from
beyond the arc, but the official won't raise his arm.
And
if the shot goes in, they'll get only two points, not three. |
|
New Points |
4 pts from FT |
26
from 2pt |
12 from 3pt |
|
42 |
9% |
62% |
29% |
Now
the lights can come on, because if the next shot is from long range
it can legitimately count for three points. |
|
Next Points |
4 pts from FT |
26 from 2pt |
15 from
3pt |
|
45 |
9% |
58% |
33% |
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~ |
~ |
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JANUARY
26, 2023
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR STATS
I'm
watching college basketball last night, Wake Forest at Pitt.
Players collide, and charging is called. What exactly
happened? Oh, good, we're going to see it again. But the
replay, saved from a couple of minutes earlier, shows us instead a
three-point attempt: a wide-open player shoots and scores.
Here comes a second replay: a wide-open player shoots and scores.
For
years, dating back to when I worked in TV sports graphics, these
low-information replays have bothered me. Although they're
emotionally satisfying, like a view of cheerleaders shaking pom-poms,
they tell me nothing new. Coming back from the next commercial,
I see a package replaying four successful three-point
shots. Whoopee.
It
seems to me that basketball offenses nowadays rely less on advancing
toward the hoop than on retreating behind the arc to launch those
three-pointers. Pitt won with 81 points. Of those,
two-thirds a school-record 54 points came from triples.
Back
in my day, our TV graphics frequently were team
comparisons; for example, overall field goal shooting.
Suppose that so far, Northwestern has made 12 of 19 attempts while
Memphis is 9 for 20.
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This
is how ESPN graphics looked in the 2011-12 season. |
On
the right is a list of ESPN's available templates. Maybe my
coordinator decides that instead of the raw numbers (#301), the
percentages (#300) would be easier to understand: Northwestern 63.2%,
Memphis 45.0%.
Which
category should we offer next to the director? Perhaps,
although three-point field goals were fairly equal at halftime,
Memphis is shooting better now and #308 would be appropriate.
Says
Eric Olson, co-developer of an AI tool called Consensus,
Writing is less than half of my job; most of my work is reading
and deciding what's important enough for me to put in a paragraph.
Could
such choices be automated?
Even
when I was a teenager, I thought it ought to be possible to do
so. Maybe the scoreboard in the arena could include a line
displaying a different category every 30 seconds or so, based on
relevance. Oh, look, Ozzie, our bench players have outscored
theirs 15 to nothing!
Before
tipoff, we'd estimate what the numbers should be. If
enough data is available, this should be based on recent games
against comparable opponents. Perhaps Northwestern could be
expected to score twice as many fast-break points per minute as
Memphis but have similar numbers of blocked shots. Then during
the game, a stats computer would look at each category in turn,
comparing the real numbers to expectations and calculating a WOW! factor.
Another
factor could be how many minutes since we've shown a category.
Another could be the category's importance. Turnovers are
generally more relevant than the split between offensive and
defensive rebounds.
The
computer could add all the factors together to decide which category
to display next. |
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JANUARY
16, 2023
TWO
THOUSAND MUG SHOTS
How
did I spend last winter? Looking for yearbook photos of my
college classmates.
There
were 660 from the Class of 1969.
Plus
685 members of the class before me.
And
669 from the class before that.
Most
were easy to find, but some weren't. A new article tells of my
search for Cluster
Pix. |
JANUARY
20, 2013
HOW COULD ANYONE?
There
are people who use social media to perversely claim to be someone
theyre not. Apparently Notre Dame linebacker Manti
Teo was drawn into one such hoax. Because of his
celebrity, when it was brought to light last week it caused a media sensation.
(Teo
wasnt a completely innocent victim. In particular, when
his father embarrassed him by asking whether hed ever even met
his online friend, he said of course he had. His father
repeated his lies to other people, and the situation soon got out of control.)
How
could anyone convince himself that a girl he had never seen in
person was the love of his life until she died
when she never really existed? I suspect the reason has to do
with the fact that Teo is very religious.
Journalist
Dan Wetzel writes,
He is said to be a particularly devout Mormon from a sheltered
upbringing who has a personality that seeks the finest in everyone he
meets. His speeches, his interviews, his sideline antics and
his propensity to tear up at any moment are unusual for any young
man, especially a football player. It's not just the inflection
in his voice part preacher/part overwhelmed parishioner
it's also the content it delivers. ... The guy is
gullible. He's naïve. He's trusting in ways that
nearly defy belief, almost wide-eyed in wonder at all sorts of things
in life.
Religious
people do tend to be gullible.
Muslims
are told that if they die a martyrs death, 72 virgins will
welcome them to heaven. Some subscribe to this and strap on
suicide bombs.
Mormons
are told that their founder Joseph Smith unearthed a set of gold
plates with ancient writing on them. He stuck his face into a
hat and translated them, after which the plates
conveniently disappeared. The translation became Mormon scripture.
Catholics
are told that if they eat a certain wafer, theyre actually
eating the flesh of a man who died over 2,000 years ago, and this is
a good thing.
Christians
in general are told that this Jesus isnt really dead.
Now he takes a personal interest in them as individuals and has gone
to heaven to prepare a place for them after they die. Have they
ever seen Jesus? Theyve seen pictures. When he
died, were they there? Theyve been told what
happened. Have they talked to him? Theyve prayed.
How
could anyone believe these tall tales? Its because they
have faith. They dont want to question what theyve
been told, however unlikely it may seem to the rest of us, because it
can be a great comfort to them.
JANUARY
16, 2023
POLICE CARS EVERYWHERE
Two
weeks ago in my apartment, I turned on the local evening news to
discover that there was massive police activity taking place at that
moment, less than half a mile down the hill! My town's police
chief had been murdered!

Soon
I learned that less than a quarter mile away, a car of the same
model as mine had been stolen at gunpoint! Needless to say, I
double-locked my doors. The encounter was a little too close
for comfort.
The
gunman was eventually cornered and killed. Later, thousands of
my neighbors Remembering
Chief McIntire
turned out for the funeral.

JANUARY
13, 2023
MILD HYPOTHERMIA
It's
freezing out there. Wear your warm socks. You don't want
to catch cold!
In
this month's 100 Moons article from two decades ago, I posited that
a chill (B) might temporarily cause you to experience
symptoms (T) commonly associated with the common cold
(V), but the presence of those symptoms (T)
doesn't necessarily mean that you've actually been infected by the
virus (V).
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For
evidence, sadistic scientists cooled the feet of college students to
50°F for 20 minutes. The experimenters' conclusion?
The present study supports the folklore that exposure to
chilling may cause the onset of common cold symptoms, perhaps
by some change in respiratory defense caused by reflex
vasoconstriction of the blood vessels of the upper airways.
However, the study does not provide any objective evidence, such as
virology, that the subjects were infected with a common cold virus.
True,
winter colds are going around. But often the actual culprit is
not low temperature but high temperature, as found among
sniffling chattering folks crowded unmasked into the dry air of an
overheated room. That situation leads to easy viral transmission.
JANUARY
10, 2023
CAN WE EXPECT OUR SPAN?
Thousands
of years ago, the Bible's Psalm 90:10 noted that the years of
our life are threescore and ten, or even by reason of strength fourscore.
For
millennia, the intrinsic biological Life Span of humans has remained
more or less constant at about 79 years. According to historian
Walter Scheidel in this
article, The life span of humans hasn't really changed
much at all, as far as I can tell. |
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However,
that's Life Span, defined as the best-case maximum
number of years that an individual of a given species can survive.
There's
also a different statistical construct called Life Expectancy, defined
as not the maximum but the average number of years that an
individual can be expected to survive.
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Many
statistical quantities follow a bell-shaped curve called a
normal distribution. The average value is in the
middle, balanced by values of lesser likelihood on either side.
Of
course, not all stats work this way. In particular, Life
Expectancy follows a distribution that's non-normal. |
On
their Omnibus
podcast, John Roderick and Ken Jennings mentioned that, at the turn
of the last century, the Life Expectancy for Black Americans was not
very great. |
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________JOHN:
If in 1900 the Life Expectancy
_______was 30
years old,
does
that reflect
KEN:
It means for every person who
died at 80__
there
was somebody else dying
at negative 20.___
Ken's
facetious reasoning assumes that the graph should be a normal-distribution
bell curve like this.
(80 +
20) / 2 = 30 |
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However,
the graph ought to look more like this, skewed by a high rate of
childhood mortality.
We
could say that for every person who
died at 60 there was somebody else dying
at birth (age 0).
(60
+ 0)
/ 2 = 30 |
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Americans'
Life Expectancy has been gradually improving, and by 2019 that
statistic had managed to equal the biological Life Span of 79 years.
Unfortunately,
by 2021 it had fallen to 76,
due mostly to the pandemic but also due to heart and liver diseases,
accidents, and drug overdoses. |
Americans
are dying younger than in any peer countries, writes David
Wallace-Wells of the New York Times. Increasingly
the American mortality anomaly is explained by the deaths of children
and teenagers.
One
in 25 American 5-year-olds now won't live to see 40, a death rate
about four times as high as in other wealthy nations. Guns were
responsible for almost half of the increase from 2019 to 2020, as
homicides among children age 10 to 19 grew more than 39 percent.
Deaths from drug overdoses for that age cohort more than doubled. |
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JANUARY
7, 2023
MEET
ME AT THE 5K 100T "SCOTT"
In
1971, I was still living in Ohio State Buckeye country when Indiana
University welcomed a new basketball coach to Bloomington (a 1962 OSU
graduate, the traitor) and opened its brand-new Assembly Hall.
Any
time that Ohio State was visiting, the games were televised from
Assembly Hall back to Columbus, of course. But they looked odd. |
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Also,
always in the background behind the players, there was a weird white wall.
The
wall was curved low in the middle for the front-row fans, but
higher on the ends to allow for entryways. Those portals had
scoreboards above them, just like Ohio State's St. John Arena. |
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When
the building was being designed, IU officials had insisted on having
only a few rows of bleachers behind the baskets. For a better
fan experience, most of the 17,000 seats are stacked along the
sidelines. Therefore those sides are very steep, including
balconies high up in the rafters.
It's
not practical to locate the main television cameras way up
there. Instead, a camera location was established in the
seventh row, indicated below by an X. On television, the low
angle did make us feel we had great seats, almost at courtside, but
it didn't provide the whole-court overview we usually expect.
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Since
then, I believe TV broadcasters have relocated their cameras to a
position about halfway up the lower deck, eliminating a few seats in
the process. Telecasts from Indiana now resemble all others.
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Recently,
however, I noticed that a name has been painted on the court,
apparently identifying the building as the SIMON 5K 100T Assembly Hall.
I
had to do some research. Who was Simon, and why does his
five-kilometer race have a hundred turns? It must consist of 25
laps around half the football field, or something like that. |
It
turns out that Mel Simon was a shopping mall magnate who owned the
NBA's Indiana Pacers. He left a fortune to his daughter
Cynthia, a 1980 IU graduate. She married Paul Skjodt, a former
hockey player with a Danish name. (It's supposed to be the
2,689,253rd most common surname in the world and is pronounced Scott.)
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For
the past 30 years, Cindy Simon Skjodt has followed in her
father's legacy of generosity, often honoring her parents through her
donations to help hospitals, museums, medical research, and
underserved youth and families. In 2013 she donated $40 million
to renovate and improve the hall.
Here
we see her at the dedication game, which took place six years ago tonight.
So
now I realize, and closer inspection reveals, that the name isn't 5K
100T but actually SKJODT. |
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JANUARY
4, 2023 MANNIXPHONE
In
1967, my parents had a rotary-dial Princess telephone on the
nightstand between their twin beds.
Meanwhile
on TV, a well-equipped private eye had one in his car, between his
bucket seats!
Learn
more about it in The
Roadster and the Clock. |
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JANUARY
1, 2023
KILLER WHALE |
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True
story: One of 2022's many mass murderers bought a pistol one
day, wrote a paranoid suicide note, and then shot ten Walmart
colleagues and himself. In the note, the evil manager reassured
God that the upcoming massacre was not God's fault. I was
one of the most loving people in the world.... I just wanted a
wife that was equally yoked [to Christ] as I. However, it
was like I was led by the Satan. He used words that
he had apparently never seen spelled out, accusing his co-workers of
mocking him as they orcastraighted his down fall. |
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